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The prominence of causal intuitions is a recurrent theme in this book because
people are prone to apply causal thinking inappropriately, to situations that
require statistical reasoning. Statistical thinking derives conclusions about
individual cases from properties of categories and ensembles. Unfortunately,
System 1 does not have the capability for this mode of reasoning; System 2
can learn to think statistically, but few people receive the necessary
training.

Daniel Kahneman. Thinking, Fast and Slow

Является ли LessWrong тем самым «training» для «System 2»?

#S5M1BS (20) / @minoru / 3167 дней назад

A reliable way to make people believe in falsehoods is frequent repetition,
because familiarity is not easily distinguished from truth. […] People who
were repeatedly exposed to the phrase “the body temperature of a chicken”
were more likely to accept as true the statement that “the body temperature
of a chicken is 144°” (or any other arbitrary number). The familiarity of one
phrase in the statement sufficed to make the whole statement feel familiar,
and therefore true. If you cannot remember the source of a statement, and
have no way to relate it to other things you know, you have no option but to
go with the sense of cognitive ease.

Daniel Kahneman. Thinking, Fast and Slow

#B3Y71G (0) / @minoru / 3167 дней назад
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